WMT
Walmart Inc.$105.82Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores · TALK君常提非 AI 标的（价值股方法论样本） · as of 2026-10-06
清仓/不碰贵 · 2026-10-06
必需品NTM PE 34.0（不用PEG），90天-2%，上调1/下调4，对价值股来说偏贵。
估值
PE TTM38.3
PE NTM (混合)34.0
Fwd PE (Yahoo +1y)32.8
PEG NTM2.88
PEG (Yahoo)3.54
EV/EBITDA20.5
EV/Rev1.2
P/S1.1
FCF yield0.8%
Fwd PE 自身分位n=1，样本不足
增长 / 质量
Revenue TTM735.8B
Rev growth (yoy q)6%
Earnings growth-9%
EPS +1y vs 0y12%
Gross margin25%
Op margin3%
Net margin3%
FCF / OCF7.1B / 42.9B
Debt / Cash75.1B / 11.5B
Mkt cap / EV842.2B / 903.7B
共识 / 修正
Target mean126.8 (20%)
Rec mean (1=StrongBuy)1.53
SB/B/H/S10/27/5/1
Analysts40
+1y EPS up/down 30d1 / 4
+1y EPS chg 90d-2%
Surprise avg 4q3.6%
Next earnings2026-11-19
FY end2027-01-31
价格 / 情绪
52w high / low135.2 / 98.9
vs 52w high-22%
Ret 1m / 3m-1% / -5%
RS vs SPY 1m / 3m-3% / -9%
Beta0.58
Short % float1.8%
Div yield0.94%
共识预期 (EPS / Revenue)
| Period | End | EPS avg | low–high | g | 90d ago | Up/Dn 30d | Rev avg | Rev g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0q | 2026-10-31 | 0.64 | 0.62–0.67 | 2% | 0.68 | 0/30 | 187.2B | 5% |
| +1q | 2027-01-31 | 0.79 | 0.76–0.85 | 6% | 0.81 | 3/27 | 200.3B | 6% |
| 0y | 2027-01-31 | 2.89 | 2.80–3.08 | 9% | 2.90 | 12/16 | 752.8B | 7% |
| +1y | 2028-01-31 | 3.23 | 3.09–3.56 | 12% | 3.29 | 1/4 | 785.9B | 4% |
财报历史 (EPS actual vs estimate)
| Quarter | Actual | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-31 | 0.62 | 0.60 | 3.1% |
| 2026-01-31 | 0.74 | 0.73 | 1.8% |
| 2026-04-30 | 0.66 | 0.66 | 0.2% |
| 2026-07-31 | 0.81 | 0.74 | 9.3% |
价格（1 年）与 Forward PE 快照历史
Forward PE 历史区间：每日快照累积中（目前 1 天）