TSLA

Tesla, Inc.$381.51

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers · 端侧 AI / 消费电子 · as of 2026-10-06

清仓/不碰贵 · 2026-10-06

NTM PE 186.6、PEG 7.59，90天共识-16%，上调1/下调4。贵且刚被下修，是最危险的组合。

估值

PE TTM353.3

PE NTM (混合)186.6

Fwd PE (Yahoo +1y)177.9

PEG NTM7.59

PEG (Yahoo)4.43

EV/EBITDA136.6

EV/Rev14.2

P/S14.5

FCF yield0.3%

Fwd PE 自身分位n=1，样本不足

增长 / 质量

Revenue TTM103.6B

Rev growth (yoy q)26%

Earnings growth-3%

EPS +1y vs 0y25%

Gross margin19%

Op margin1%

Net margin4%

FCF / OCF4.8B / 18.7B

Debt / Cash16.1B / 43.5B

Mkt cap / EV1.51T / 1.47T

共识 / 修正

Target mean396.4 (4%)

Rec mean (1=StrongBuy)2.35

SB/B/H/S4/15/20/4

Analysts38

+1y EPS up/down 30d1 / 4

+1y EPS chg 90d-16%

Surprise avg 4q-5.4%

Next earnings2026-10-21

FY end2026-12-31

价格 / 情绪

52w high / low498.8 / 297.4

vs 52w high-24%

Ret 1m / 3m8% / -5%

RS vs SPY 1m / 3m6% / -10%

Beta1.92

Short % float1.9%

Div yield0.00%

共识预期 (EPS / Revenue)

Period	End	EPS avg	low–high	g	90d ago	Up/Dn 30d	Rev avg	Rev g
0q	2026-09-30	0.44	0.30–0.60	-13%	0.55	1/4	27.9B	-1%
+1q	2026-12-31	0.48	0.29–0.82	-5%	0.63	2/3	28.8B	16%
0y	2026-12-31	1.72	1.37–2.39	4%	2.11	1/4	106.8B	13%
+1y	2027-12-31	2.14	1.40–3.65	25%	2.56	1/4	121.2B	14%

财报历史 (EPS actual vs estimate)

Quarter	Actual	Estimate	Surprise
2025-09-30	0.50	0.56	-10.5%
2025-12-31	0.50	0.45	11.0%
2026-03-31	0.41	0.35	17.2%
2026-06-30	0.33	0.54	-39.2%

价格（1 年）与 Forward PE 快照历史

Forward PE 历史区间：每日快照累积中（目前 1 天）

← back to screen