IBM

International Business Machines$222.62

Technology · Information Technology Services · TALK君常提非 AI 标的（价值股方法论样本） · as of 2026-10-06

估值

PE TTM19.8

PE NTM (混合)17.2

Fwd PE (Yahoo +1y)16.9

PEG NTM2.53

PEG (Yahoo)2.11

EV/EBITDA16.1

EV/Rev3.9

P/S3.0

FCF yield5.7%

Fwd PE 自身分位n=1，样本不足

增长 / 质量

Revenue TTM69.1B

Rev growth (yoy q)1%

Earnings growth-2%

EPS +1y vs 0y7%

Gross margin58%

Op margin17%

Net margin16%

FCF / OCF12.0B / 14.9B

Debt / Cash65.3B / 8.1B

Mkt cap / EV209.7B / 266.0B

共识 / 修正

Target mean240.6 (8%)

Rec mean (1=StrongBuy)2.25

SB/B/H/S3/9/10/2

Analysts22

+1y EPS up/down 30d11 / 10

+1y EPS chg 90d-2%

Surprise avg 4q4.7%

Next earnings2026-10-21

FY end2026-12-31

价格 / 情绪

52w high / low332.5 / 199.2

vs 52w high-33%

Ret 1m / 3m-5% / -27%

RS vs SPY 1m / 3m-7% / -31%

Beta0.72

Short % float2.7%

Div yield3.05%

共识预期 (EPS / Revenue)

Period	End	EPS avg	low–high	g	90d ago	Up/Dn 30d	Rev avg	Rev g
0q	2026-09-30	2.87	2.75–3.12	8%	2.93	0/2	16.8B	3%
+1q	2026-12-31	4.62	4.41–4.77	2%	4.57	2/0	20.5B	4%
0y	2026-12-31	12.31	12.08–12.63	6%	12.46	0/1	70.4B	4%
+1y	2027-12-31	13.15	12.30–13.86	7%	13.46	11/10	73.1B	4%

财报历史 (EPS actual vs estimate)

Quarter	Actual	Estimate	Surprise
2025-09-30	2.65	2.45	8.3%
2025-12-31	4.52	4.29	5.3%
2026-03-31	1.91	1.81	5.5%
2026-06-30	2.93	2.93	-0.1%

价格（1 年）与 Forward PE 快照历史

Forward PE 历史区间：每日快照累积中（目前 1 天）

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