AAPL
Apple Inc.$333.81Technology · Consumer Electronics · 端侧 AI / 消费电子 · as of 2026-10-06
清仓/不碰贵 · 2026-10-06
NTM PE 37.8、PEG 4.41，90天-1%，距高点-3%。好公司不等于好价格。
估值
PE TTM38.3
PE NTM (混合)37.8
Fwd PE (Yahoo +1y)34.8
PEG NTM4.41
PEG (Yahoo)2.67
EV/EBITDA29.1
EV/Rev10.5
P/S10.4
FCF yield2.2%
Fwd PE 自身分位n=1，样本不足
增长 / 质量
Revenue TTM466.8B
Rev growth (yoy q)16%
Earnings growth29%
EPS +1y vs 0y9%
Gross margin49%
Op margin33%
Net margin28%
FCF / OCF107.7B / 146.7B
Debt / Cash84.3B / 62.4B
Mkt cap / EV4.87T / 4.88T
共识 / 修正
Target mean328.1 (-2%)
Rec mean (1=StrongBuy)2.20
SB/B/H/S6/19/13/6
Analysts39
+1y EPS up/down 30d5 / 3
+1y EPS chg 90d-1%
Surprise avg 4q5.3%
Next earnings2026-10-29
FY end2026-09-27
价格 / 情绪
52w high / low345.3 / 243.4
vs 52w high-3%
Ret 1m / 3m4% / 7%
RS vs SPY 1m / 3m3% / 3%
Beta1.07
Short % float0.9%
Div yield0.32%
共识预期 (EPS / Revenue)
| Period | End | EPS avg | low–high | g | 90d ago | Up/Dn 30d | Rev avg | Rev g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0q | 2026-09-30 | 1.98 | 1.93–2.07 | 7% | 2.01 | 7/14 | 113.6B | 11% |
| +1q | 2026-12-31 | 2.91 | 2.56–3.42 | 2% | 2.95 | 1/2 | 154.4B | 7% |
| 0y | 2026-09-30 | 8.82 | 8.28–8.94 | 18% | 8.76 | 3/2 | 477.9B | 15% |
| +1y | 2027-09-30 | 9.58 | 8.69–10.67 | 9% | 9.68 | 5/3 | 528.0B | 10% |
财报历史 (EPS actual vs estimate)
| Quarter | Actual | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-30 | 1.85 | 1.77 | 4.5% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2.84 | 2.67 | 6.3% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2.01 | 1.94 | 3.5% |
| 2026-06-30 | 2.02 | 1.89 | 6.7% |
价格（1 年）与 Forward PE 快照历史
Forward PE 历史区间：每日快照累积中（目前 1 天）